TY  - BOOK
AU  - Moore,P.G.
TI  - The anatomy of decisions \ P.G. Moore
SN  - 0140091203
U1  - 658 M8211 
CY  - England: Penguin Books 1988
N1  - P. 244; 1. Decision situations 2. The rev counter decision 3. the choice of criterion 4. decision trees 5. the synthesis of information 6. more decision trees 6. more decision trees 7. assesing uncertain events 8. probablyty distributions 9. assessing utility 10. Multi attribute 11 risk analysis 12. implementation
N2  - Managers have always needed flair and business acumen; today, constantly faced with massively complex problems to solve, they also need to master a simple but powerful set of mathematical decision-making tools. This well-known book, as suitable for students as for practising managers, provides a clear and concise survey of the techniques involved: probability assessments, utility functions, decision trees and many more. Case histories drawn from real life show how large, messy problems can often be boiled down to their essentials and restated in a far more straightforward way. A manager who does this will be able to delegate more work to subordinates, eliminate many impractical courses of action and reduce uncertainty to a minimum, ensuring that managers can make the very best use of their valuable time. The second edition has been updated with much new material on the uses made of decision analyses, contemporary references to other books and journals, and some fresh exercises
ER  -